What is Risk Analysis in the Context of Civil Disturbance?
This report provides a risk analysis for a student protest in Jakarta, which is a form of civil disturbance. The analysis helps organizations prepare for operational challenges related to workforce mobility, localized disruptions, and safety protocols in response to the demonstration.
Executive Summary
- Date of Incident: 09 September 2025
- Location: Jakarta, Indonesia
- Risk Category: Civil Disturbance
- Severity Score: 3/5
- Confidence Level: 85%
A student protest organized by BEM UI is scheduled to take place at the Dewan Perwakilan Rakyat (DPR) complex. Based on historical analysis, the protest is expected to cause moderate disruption, primarily from significant traffic congestion and road closures. While the protest is likely to be peaceful, there is a potential for minor clashes with security forces. The protest is expected to last for a single day.
Impact on Transportation and Services
- Travel & Mobility: High likelihood of road closures and traffic diversions around the DPR complex and major arteries, which will severely impact commutes and ground transport.
- People Safety: There is a risk of minor injuries from crowd movement, potential clashes with security forces, or exposure to tear gas.
- Business Operations: Businesses near the protest site may experience disruptions due to reduced accessibility and delayed staff commutes.
- Supply Chain & Logistics: Localized disruptions to last-mile delivery and urban logistics are anticipated due to traffic congestion.
Recommended Actions
- Implement work-from-home or flexible working arrangements for non-essential staff.
- For premises near the protest site, adjust operating hours, re-route deliveries, and secure physical assets.
- Enhance physical security measures around all Jakarta-based facilities.
- Develop and disseminate clear communication to clients and partners regarding potential service delays.
- Establish a cross-functional incident response team to monitor local news and traffic conditions.
Emergency Contacts
- Police: 110
- Fire Department: 113
- Ambulance: 118 or 119
- National Emergency: 112
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