Risk Analysis: How Strikes on Iran Are Fueling Anti-War Protests in U.S. Cities

Introduction

As geopolitical tensions escalate between the U.S., Israel, and Iran, American streets are witnessing a wave of anti-war protests. These civil disturbances, triggered by recent military strikes, have taken hold in major metropolitan areas like Washington D.C., New York, and Los Angeles. In this risk analysis, we explore the scale, severity, and implications of these protests—shedding light on business disruptions, public safety, and operational risks.

What Is Risk Analysis in the Context of Civil Unrest?

Risk analysis is the systematic process of identifying, assessing, and mitigating risks to operations, assets, and people. In the context of civil unrest like protests, this involves evaluating the probability and impact of disruptions, from road closures to safety threats and reputational damage.

Executive Summary: Low to Moderate Risk Level

  • Date of Incident: 22 June 2025
  • Location: Washington D.C. and other major U.S. cities
  • Risk Category: Civil Disturbances
  • Severity Score: 2/5
  • Confidence Level: 85%

While the protests remain largely symbolic and non-violent, their ripple effects on urban mobility, social cohesion, and business continuity cannot be ignored. According to our risk dimension matrix, the most impacted areas include travel & mobilitypeople safety, and business operations.

Business Continuity Recommendations

Organizations operating in affected areas should adopt the following proactive measures:

  • Enable Remote Work: Especially in cities like D.C., NYC, and L.A.
  • Secure Physical Assets: Increase security presence near protest routes
  • Review BCP Plans: Ensure critical operations can shift locations
  • Activate Crisis Teams: Monitor social media and local alerts for escalation

Known Hotspots and Sensitive Areas

Protests have been concentrated around politically sensitive zones such as:

  • The White House & Lafayette Square (Washington D.C.)
  • United Nations HQ (NYC)
  • Federal buildings in downtown Los Angeles and Chicago
  • Diplomatic missions (e.g., Iranian & Israeli consulates)

These areas are likely to see continued unrest over the next 3–5 days, especially during evenings and weekends.

Impact on Transportation and Utilities

  • Metro and Bus Disruptions: Temporary exit closures (e.g., McPherson Square, 42nd Street–Grand Central)
  • Traffic Gridlocks: Pennsylvania Ave NW (D.C.), 1st Ave (NYC), Spring St (L.A.)
  • Utilities Unaffected: No deliberate damage reported or anticipated

Emergency Resources

Final Thoughts

While the current wave of anti-war protests is low-to-moderate in risk, businesses, government agencies, and local communities must not be complacent. A robust risk analysis helps preempt disruptions and safeguard operations. With the right preparation—from enabling remote work to securing physical premises—organizations can remain resilient even amid geopolitical volatility.

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