This risk assessment evaluates the potential impact of ongoing ojol (online motorcycle taxi) protests in Jakarta, following the incident on 21 July. It provides insights to help businesses manage mobility, logistics, and operational continuity, drawing from historical patterns of similar civil disturbances.
What is Risk Analysis in the Context of Civil Disturbance Events?
Civil disturbance risk assessments evaluate how protests and demonstrations impact urban mobility, workplace safety, supply chains, and public services. They provide timely intelligence that helps businesses prepare for disruptions, mitigate operational risks, and ensure staff welfare.
Executive Summary
- Date of Incident: 21 July 2025
- Location: Jakarta, Jakarta, Indonesia
- Risk Category: Civil Disturbance
- Severity Score: 3/5
- Confidence Level: 85%
This report assesses the risk of ongoing ojol (online motorcycle taxi) protests in Jakarta, which began on Monday, July 21st. Based on historical analysis, these protests are expected to cause localized disruption, primarily affecting urban mobility and business operations. While security forces are deployed to manage crowds, significant traffic gridlock is anticipated in affected areas. Direct violence is historically rare for this type of protest, and normalcy is likely to return within 24-48 hours after the active phase.
Known Hotspots and Sensitive Areas
Anticipate significant road closures and diversions, particularly around the National Monument (Monas), Jalan Medan Merdeka Barat, Jalan Medan Merdeka Selatan, and the Patung Kuda Arjuna Wiwaha area. These closures will directly impact traffic flow heading toward Gambir Station and the Presidential Palace, which are frequent focal points for large demonstrations.
Impact on Transportation and Services
- Road Access: The primary closures are anticipated around the National Monument (Monas), Jalan Medan Merdeka Barat, and the Patung Kuda Arjuna Wiwaha area. For a historical reference, a similar protest closed Jalan Medan Merdeka Selatan towards Gambir Station.
- Public Transport: Major disruption to public and private transportation is highly probable. TransJakarta bus routes are almost certain to be adjusted or diverted in Central Jakarta.
- Utility Services: Direct damage to utilities is highly unlikely, as these demonstrations typically focus on public assembly rather than property destruction.
- Business Operations: The protests have a high likelihood of causing operational delays, reduced foot traffic, and supply chain disruptions for businesses in Central Jakarta.
Recommended Actions
- Activate work-from-home protocols for non-essential staff in affected areas.
- Implement contingency plans for supply chain and logistics, including identifying alternative delivery routes.
- Enhance on-site security presence at Jakarta facilities, particularly near protest zones.
- Proactively communicate potential service delays or operational adjustments to clients and key stakeholders.
- Convene an internal crisis management team to monitor the situation and coordinate responses.
Emergency Contacts
- Police: 110
- Fire Department: 113
- Ambulance: 118 or 119
- National Emergency: 112
Official Channels
- Official Government Websites:
- Pemprov DKI Jakarta (Jakarta Provincial Government): https://www.jakarta.go.id/
- Ministry of Transportation, Republic of Indonesia (151): https://dephub.go.id/
Final Thoughts
The baseline scenario for these protests is a largely peaceful event contained within the planned area, with effective management by police. This would result in localized but significant traffic congestion. A moderate escalation could see protests spread to other key government buildings, leading to more widespread and prolonged traffic gridlock. While the risk of severe escalation is low, it could involve sustained unrest and significant clashes, potentially causing substantial operational losses and damage to assets. Businesses should maintain vigilance and have contingency plans in place to ensure both employee safety and business continuity.
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