Risk Analysis: Mass Protest in Dakar on 18th July

Risk Analysis: Mass Protest in Dakar on 18th July

This civil disturbance risk advisory analyses the mass protest scheduled by the ‘Sauvons la République’ movement in Dakar, Senegal on 18 July 2025. It draws upon historical protest data involving Ousmane Sonko and aims to support business continuity planning, employee safety, and operational risk mitigation.

What is Risk Analysis in the Context of Civil Disturbance Events?

Civil disturbance risk assessments evaluate how protests and unrest impact public safety, infrastructure access, traffic mobility, and continuity of business operations. These analyses help organizations put in place proactive safeguards to protect employees, assets, and operations in politically sensitive or protest-prone zones.

Executive Summary: High Risk Level

  • Date of Incident: 18 July 2025
  • Location: Dakar, Senegal
  • Risk Category: Civil Disturbance
  • Severity Score: 4/5
  • Confidence Level: 88%

A mass protest is expected in Dakar, driven by political grievances against Ousmane Sonko. Based on prior incidents, the situation could quickly escalate to violence and broader unrest. Business disruption, security threats, and mobility shutdowns are likely. Residual tensions may persist for up to a week post-event.

Known Hotspots and Sensitive Areas

  • Presidential Palace (Avenue Léopold Sédar Senghor)
  • National Assembly and Supreme Court (Plateau)
  • Cheikh Anta Diop University (UCAD) campus
  • Gare de Dakar and surrounding commercial hubs (Sandaga, Kermel markets)

Impact on Transportation and Services

  • Road Access: Severe congestion and closures on Avenue Blaise Diagne, Corniche Ouest, and roads around Place de l’Indépendance.
  • Public Transport: Suspensions and route diversions for Dakar Dem Dikk buses and car rapides.
  • Utility Services: Localized damage to traffic lights and shelters possible; risk of internet shutdowns during escalation.
  • Business Operations: Temporary closures and restricted access to facilities in central Dakar.

Recommended Actions

  • Activate remote work for all non-essential staff in Dakar on 18 July.
  • Secure physical premises and move valuable assets off-site or into vaults.
  • Maintain frequent contact with employees; issue internal mobility advisories.
  • Monitor updates from official sources and local law enforcement.

Emergency Contacts

Final Thoughts

Given Dakar’s history of political unrest, businesses should adopt a precautionary posture. Remote work, employee safety protocols, asset protection, and real-time monitoring of civil conditions are crucial to managing operational risk.

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