Risk Analysis: Heightened Security Measures in Dhaka for Great Martyrs’ Day (21 February)

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Executive Summary for the Heightened Security Measures in Dhaka

Authorities have announced multi-tier security measures for Great Martyrs’ Day, deploying approximately 15,000 officers across Dhaka. Road restrictions, checkpoints and traffic diversions will focus on Central Shaheed Minar, Shahbagh, Dhaka University, Manik Mia Avenue and Motijheel. The primary operational window spans 24–48 hours centred on 21 February, with pre-deployment beginning 12–24 hours prior. Severity is moderate, driven by mobility constraints and access control rather than anticipated large-scale violence.

  • Date of Event: 21 February
  • Location: Dhaka, Bangladesh
  • Risk Category: Travel Risks
  • Severity Score: 3 / 5
  • Confidence Level: 75 %

What is Risk Analysis in the Context of Travel Risks Events

Travel risk analysis evaluates disruptions to urban mobility, public gatherings and security deployments that impact transportation networks, workforce access and supply chains. Large-scale national observances often involve road closures, checkpoints and police deployment to manage crowd control and public safety. In Dhaka, commemorative events such as Great Martyrs’ Day historically produce predictable traffic congestion and access restrictions around ceremonial and administrative zones. Understanding these travel disruption patterns is critical for business continuity planning and operational risk management.

Known Hotspots and Sensitive Areas

High Impact:

  • Central Shaheed Minar and Shahbagh intersection
  • Dhaka University campus (Curzon Hall vicinity)
  • Manik Mia Avenue and approaches to Motijheel

Medium Impact:

  • Secretariat and administrative corridors
  • Old Airport Road connectors

Low Impact:

  • Peripheral districts outside central Dhaka

Recurring observance-day deployments in central Dhaka consistently generate peak congestion during early morning and evening hours, particularly near ceremonial and commercial hubs.

Impact on Transportation and Services

Major arterial roads into Shahbagh and Motijheel will experience traffic congestion and lane restrictions. Bus and private transport services are likely to be diverted from core zones. Metro Rail access points may face increased verification procedures and passenger delays. Last-mile deliveries and freight movements through the commercial district could require rerouting or schedule adjustments. Business operations in central Dhaka may encounter staff absenteeism, reduced retail footfall and temporary suspension of on-street loading activities. Communications infrastructure is expected to remain operational, though network congestion may occur in high-density areas.

Recommended Actions

Immediate Actions:

  • Activate a Dhaka-specific incident lead and 24-hour contact tree.
  • Enable remote work and staggered shifts for non-essential personnel.
  • Circulate approved travel routes avoiding Shahbagh and Manik Mia Avenue.
  • Suspend non-critical deliveries within affected corridors for 21 February.

Strategic Measures:

  • Develop standardized security-event contingency plans for central Dhaka.
  • Maintain coordination with Dhaka Metropolitan Police for real-time traffic updates.
  • Integrate mobility risk alerts into corporate dashboards to monitor checkpoint expansion or escalation.

Multidimensional Impact

Heavy policing may temporarily divert emergency response capacity from unrelated incidents, potentially extending response times citywide. Market supply runs and civic activities could face delays during the security window.

Emergency Contacts

  • Emergency Services: 999
  • Dhaka Metropolitan Police Control Room: 9575500

Final Thoughts

The security deployment for Great Martyrs’ Day presents a moderate but concentrated travel risk within central Dhaka. While widespread unrest is unlikely, traffic diversion and access control will disrupt mobility and business continuity for up to 48 hours. Organizations should prioritize workforce flexibility, secure assets and maintain real-time situational awareness.

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