What is Risk Analysis in the Context of Travel Risk Events
Travel risk analysis focuses on disruptions to mobility, transportation systems and workforce movement arising from regulatory actions, infrastructure constraints or security measures. In Jakarta, odd-even traffic policies are a recurring congestion-management tool, frequently activated during holidays and major events. Their relevance lies in predictable but time-sensitive impacts on commuter access, last-mile logistics and service delivery, as observed during multiple implementations between 2023 and 2025 across central business districts.
Executive Summary
- Date of Event: 29 December
- Location: Jakarta, Indonesia
- Risk Category: Travel Risks
- Severity Score: 3 / 5
- Confidence Level: 78 %
Jakarta reinstated odd-even vehicle restrictions on 29 December, covering 25 key arterial roads. The measure is expected to remain active for one to three days, consistent with prior year-end implementations. Severity is assessed as moderate due to localized but material disruption to private vehicle movement, predictable congestion on alternative routes and delivery delays. Confidence is moderate-high, supported by historical enforcement patterns and official announcements. Impacts are expected to concentrate in central Jakarta corridors, with limited risk of civil unrest but potential amplification from concurrent New Year events and planned labour movements.
Known Hotspots and Sensitive Areas
High Impact:
- Sudirman–Thamrin corridor and Bundaran HI.
- Gatot Subroto and SCBD/Setiabudi area.
- HR Rasuna Said and Kuningan business district.
Medium Impact:
- Jalan Jenderal Ahmad Yani, MT Haryono.
- Approaches to inner-city toll gates (Dalam Kota).
- Event zones near Monas and Ancol.
Low Impact:
- Peripheral districts and roads outside the 25 regulated corridors.
Odd-even measures recur during peak holiday and post-event periods, consistently shifting congestion to parallel routes rather than eliminating delays.
Impact on Transportation and Services
Road transportation is the primary area affected, with restricted access for non-compliant private vehicles during enforcement hours. Congestion is expected on alternative corridors, increasing travel times by one to four hours for deliveries and commuters. Public transport systems such as TransJakarta and ride-hailing services typically experience surges in demand. Business operations dependent on time-sensitive logistics, field staff mobility and on-site appointments may face short-term disruption, while digital and utility services remain unaffected.
Recommended Actions
Immediate Measures:
- Map facilities, client sites and delivery routes against restricted corridors and activate approved alternatives.
- Implement flexible work hours, shift staggering and remote work for non-essential staff.
- Adjust fleet deployment to ensure compliant vehicle plates on restricted routes.
Strategic Measures:
- Pre-position critical inventory outside restricted zones.
- Increase use of public transport, pooled shuttles or permitted third-party carriers.
- Coordinate with local traffic police and DKI Jakarta transport updates for real-time monitoring.
Multidimensional Impact
The restriction coincides with New Year celebrations and planned labour convoys, increasing cumulative congestion risk. Weather-related factors such as light rain or tidal flooding could further slow diversion routes, amplifying travel delays and emergency response times.
Emergency Contacts
- Indonesia Emergency Services: 112
- Traffic Police: 9119
Final Thoughts
The reimplementation of odd-even measures in Jakarta represents a short-term but recurring travel risk with moderate operational implications. Businesses should anticipate localized congestion, adjust mobility plans and maintain proactive communication. Leveraging early warning and urban mobility intelligence platforms such as MitKat’s Datasurfr can enhance preparedness and reduce disruption during future traffic control activations.
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