What is Risk Analysis in the Context of Civil Disturbance?
This report provides a risk analysis for civil unrest in Kathmandu. The analysis helps organizations prepare for operational challenges related to workforce mobility, localized disruptions, and safety protocols in response to the curfew and protests.
Executive Summary
- Date of Incident: 08 September 2025
- Location: Kathmandu, Nepal
- Risk Category: Civil Disturbance
- Severity Score: 4/5
- Confidence Level: 85%
A curfew has been imposed in parts of Kathmandu following protests. The severity is high due to the immediate halt of normal activities, potential for clashes between protesters and security forces, and the resulting impact on public safety, business continuity, and mobility. The underlying issues may lead to protracted low-level unrest.
Impact on Transportation and Services
- Travel & Mobility: The curfew and prohibitory orders will severely restrict movement, leading to widespread road closures and disruption of public and private transport.
- People Safety: There is a high risk of clashes between demonstrators and security forces, which could result in injuries and arrests.
- Business Operations: The curfew will directly halt non-essential business activities, leading to significant financial losses and operational disruptions.
- Supply Chain & Logistics: Restrictions on movement will impede the transportation of goods, disrupting local and regional supply chains.
- Regulatory & Legal: The curfew will lead to strict legal enforcement and arrests for non-compliance.
Recommended Actions
- Establish a communication tree and mandatory digital check-in system. Activate remote work protocols and provide safe travel guidance for essential staff.
- Implement immediate lockdown procedures for all company premises. Enhance physical security and activate all surveillance systems.
- Activate the business continuity plan for core functions. Divert all inbound and outbound logistics and supply chain routes to circumvent curfew-affected areas.
- Launch proactive communication with external stakeholders regarding potential service disruptions. Establish a cross-functional Crisis Management Team to monitor the situation and disseminate real-time updates.
Emergency Contacts
- Police: 100
- Fire Department: 102
- Ambulance: 101, 108
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