Several states raised concerns over potential revenue losses, but the decisions were passed by consensus. According to Revenue Secretary Arvind Shrivastava, the net revenue impact is projected at around ₹48,000 crore, but the change is considered fiscally sustainable. This means that while the government expects a decrease in revenue, it believes its long-term finances will remain stable and manageable, allowing it to absorb the change without a financial crisis or needing to take on new debt.
The overhaul comes days after Washington imposed steep tariffs on Indian goods, raising concerns over export competitiveness. Analysts view the GST changes as a clear signal that New Delhi is turning its focus back to domestic demand.
The government has cut levies on a wide range of consumer goods and services, while eliminating GST on life and health insurance. Analysts estimate the measures could deliver a significant windfall for households.
Equity strategists at HSBC expect the changes to drive stronger demand across sectors such as food and personal care, retail, insurance, agrochemicals and automotive manufacturing, with makers of small cars and two-wheelers likely to benefit most.
While the tariff dispute with Washington has created near-term uncertainty, many investors still see India as a long-term growth story, underpinned by its youthful population and expanding consumer base. The GST overhaul, combined with broader structural reforms, could help attract foreign capital into the market.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi welcomed the move, calling it pro-people and beneficial for farmers, MSMEs and the middle class. Industry bodies, including Confederation of Indian Industry (CII), described the changes as positive, saying they will ease compliance and support demand. The Indian stock markets traded higher on Thursday, 04 September, with automotive, cement, FMCG and financial services leading gains as optimism around GST rate cuts lifted sentiment.
Disclaimer: The article has references to open sources, including CNBC TV 18, ET and Indian Express.